Global 4G Operators Update 1H-2010
Executive Summary
Verizon’s LTE Plans on track, all set to launch services in November 2010. Verizon is all set to launch LTE in 25-30 markets before year end (Boston and Seattle by 15th , November) , covering about 100m citizens. It is expected that operator will launch 4G iphone in Q1, 2011. Verizon and AT& T now controls over 69% of US mobile data market and has seen biggest jump in data revenues along with Softbank, AT&T and DoCoMo(11%) in first Half 2010.
AT&T announced their 4G partners to build LTE network. AT&T announced their plans to build LTE network, and contracted Alcatel Lucent and Ericsson as their LTE equipment suppliers. However the operator believes that LTE has its own time to come and may not be ready for a large scale deployment in near future. The operator is adopting a middle strategy to upgrade their current network to HSPA+ and LTE later.
T-Mobile all set with HSPA+ to answer immediate data demand. T-Mobile has rolled out HSPA+ services in more than 25 major metropolitan areas in last four month’s time to extend its 3G networks which will support 21 Mbps peak data rates. Their new HSPA+ network covers 75 million populations, and plans to cover 185 million people by the end of this year.
Clearwire has been expanding the network so fast that it has become the biggest construction company in the US. Clearwire strives to reach 2 Million customers by end of 2010. The network is now available in 44 markets in US covering over 50 million people. Things will get really interesting later in 2010 when Clearwire and Sprint take their 4G mobile broadband network to New York City, Los Angeles, Boston, Denver, Minneapolis, the San Francisco Bay Area, Miami, Cincinnati, Cleveland and Pittsburgh for a 120 million person strong data footprint.
Reliance Industry marked its entry in telecom with nationwide BWA spectrum in India, after completion of five years agreement with younger brother. The operator paid close to $2.6 billion to win 2.3 GHz ( 20 MHz) nationwide spectrum in the country.
Qualcomm pumped $1 billion to protect TD-LTE: Qualcomm won 2.3 (20 MHz) GHz spectrum in four telecom circles of India in the recently held BWA spectrum auctions. Qualcomm’s final bid was INR 4912.54 crore or approximately USD 1.045 billion.
The Battle of LTE and WIMAX is fierce in India after auctions: Qualcomm protected entry of WiMAX in India by winning four circles and all the other players like Aircell ,Bharti, Augere and Tikona is watching Reliance controlled Infotel’s move for BWA technology choice.
Infotel holds the future of WiMAX in India. The WiMAX camp spearheaded by Samsung, Hauwei and ZTE is convincing Infotel for immediate WiMAX deployment to enter market in similar timelines as 3G. Their strategy is not impending from the fact that they do not have a LTE roadmap, but rather their eagerness to enter the agreement with Infotel and secure their mobile data business and do away with competition from Ericsson, ALU and Nokia. Ericsson, Nokia , ALU and Qualcomm is taking every possible step to avoid WiMAX deployment in India.
LTE TDD Devices Availability for Indian BWA Operators: Our research indicates that the commercial availability of TD-LTE chipsets will start as early as Q3, 2010 by handful of suppliers and majority would be ready by Q1-2011 or later. Most reasonably it will at least take three to six months for ODM’s to supply finished products. Expect first commercial shipment of TD-LTE chipsets after Q2/Q3-2011.
Teliasonera became world’s first operator to launch LTE network. Teliasonera launched two commercial markets last year covering about 400,000 people in the two countries’ capitals, Oslo and Stockholm. TeliaSonera has nationwide 4G/LTE licenses in Sweden, Norway, Finland and Denmark. During the first half year 2010, TeliaSonera has also opened up 4G for pilot customers in Finland, Denmark, Lithuania, Estonia and Latvia.
NTT DOCOMO LTE Plans on track, all set to launch services in December 2010: NTT DoCoMo has been at the cutting edge of the mobile data evolution by creating new markets and it is aiming to launch its LTE service in December 2010. DoCoMo plans to invest in the region somewhere around JPY343 billion in its new LTE network. The operator has indicated installation of 20,700 Base Station covering 51.10% of area by 2014. It strives to acquire massive 17.7 Million consumers in their new 4G network by 2014.
KDDI announced LTE plans and contracted Motorola and NEC to supply LTE equipment. KDDI Corp. has awarded contracts to Motorola and NEC Corp for the supply of base stations and ancillary equipment to build its next generation long term evolution (LTE) network. KDDI announced its plan stating investment of 515 Billion Yen in new LTE Network which will start in November 2011 and likely to reach full coverage by 2012. The operator has indicated installation of 29,361 Base Station covering 96.5% of area by 2014. It strives to acquire 9.84 Million consumers in their new 4G network by 2014.
UQ WIMAX growing steadily, 7000 base stations live on air. UQ Communications is already ahead of its deployment schedule as compared to LTE, and plans to cover 55% of the Japanese population (most major cities) by the end of March 2010, with the goal of covering more than 90% of the Japanese population by FY2012.
Softbank of Japan looks set to be the first major operator (outside of Philippines) with more revenues coming from data services than voice. Softbank is upgrading its 3G networks to support 42 Mbps Dual Carrier HSPA to cater its rapidly growing data business. Softbank plans to invest in the region somewhere around JPY207.3 billion in its new LTE network. The operator has indicated installation of 9,000 LTE Base Station covering 60.63% of the area by 2014. It strives to acquire 5.41 Million consumers in their new 4G network by 2014.
LTE-Advanced & IEEE 802.16m WiMAX both officially selected as 4G standard by ITU . LTE-Advanced and IEEE 802.16m WiMAX satisfied the ITU requirements as 4G standard, effectively being selected as the ITU 4G standards during ITU-R WP5D meeting which was held from June 9 through 16 in Vietnam
Korea Telecom plans LTE in 2011, it continues to expand WiBRO in five metropolitans and plans 27,000 WiFi Hotspots by September 2010. KT announced plans in May 2010 that it will work with electronic giants such as Samsung and LG-Ericsson for a high-speed LTE network. Investment for the LTE network could start in 2011 .
New investments are expected in Korea to promote WiBRO Adoption. KT to expand WiBRO in five metropolitans markets and established a joint venture with Samsung and Intel to promote WiBRO.
CMCC begins LTE trials with Shanghai expo, but for all practical purpose may only start large scale LTE deployment in 2012. CMCC kicked of TD-LTE network with shanghai expo. Motorola, ALU, Huawei, Sequans, ALU, ST Ericsson, ZTE , Nokia and Ericsson is testing their equipment.
CMCC rolled out 108,000 TD-SCDMA base stations and acquired 7.69 million 3G subscribers. China Mobile set up 108,000 base stations in total, with a combined investment of over CNY90 billion (USD13.16 billion) by the end of March 2010 claimed 7.69 million 3G subscribers, from its total user base of 780 million.
